Guides & Analysis
In-depth prediction market guides from Benny Ricciardi — FSWA Award Winner, former FTN CMO, licensed bond trader.
Soccer Prediction Markets: Trading Football on Kalshi and Polymarket
How to trade soccer prediction markets — World Cup, Champions League, Premier League, and MLS on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Politics Prediction Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket for Political Events
How to trade political prediction markets — elections, legislation, Fed decisions, and more. Kalshi vs Polymarket compared for US political trading.
NFL Prediction Markets: How to Trade Football on Kalshi
Everything you need to know about NFL prediction markets on Kalshi — Super Bowl odds, game winners, player props, and combo strategies.
NBA Prediction Markets: Kalshi vs Polymarket for Basketball Betting
How to trade NBA prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket — player props, game outcomes, and championship odds compared.
MLB Prediction Markets: Trading Baseball on Kalshi
How to trade MLB prediction markets on Kalshi — World Series odds, division winners, game outcomes, and player awards.
Macro Prediction Markets: Trading Fed Rates, Inflation, and GDP on Kalshi
How to trade macroeconomic prediction markets on Kalshi — Fed rate decisions, CPI inflation, GDP growth, and recession probability markets.
Crypto Prediction Markets: Trading Bitcoin and Ethereum on Kalshi
How to trade crypto prediction markets on Kalshi — Bitcoin price targets, ETH milestones, and how crypto markets compare to Polymarket.
Reading Kalshi Like a Bond Desk: Prediction Markets as Derivatives
How a bond trading background reframes prediction markets as mispriced probability instruments. The framework I use to find edge on Kalshi using tools from fixed income desks.
Polymarket for US Traders in 2026: Legal Status, Access, and Setup Guide
What US traders need to know about Polymarket in 2026 — the current legal landscape, how the platform works, what you can and cannot do, and how it fits alongside regulated alternatives.
Kalshi vs Polymarket for Sports Markets: Liquidity, Depth, and Quality Compared
A detailed comparison of sports market quality on Kalshi versus Polymarket — covering liquidity, market depth, available categories, and which platform gives sports traders better pricing.
How to Read Prediction Market Prices: A Beginner's Guide to Implied Probability
Prediction market prices explained from scratch — what the cents mean, how to convert them to probabilities, what the vig costs you, and the key concepts every new trader needs to understand.
How Kalshi Combos Work: Mechanics, Probability, and When to Use Them
A clear breakdown of Kalshi combo mechanics — how combined probability is calculated, what the vig looks like across legs, and the specific situations where combos offer genuine edge.
FanDuel Predicts Review 2026: Pros, Cons, and State Availability
An honest review of FanDuel Predicts — how it works, state availability, how it compares to Kalshi and DraftKings, and whether it is worth your time as a prediction market trader.
DraftKings Predictions Review 2026: Honest Pros, Cons, and Best Use Cases
An honest, detailed review of DraftKings Predictions — what works, what does not, how it compares to Kalshi and Polymarket, and the specific situations where DraftKings Predict is the right call.